Aging Population: Silver Tsunami

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Revenue-neutral

Fiscal Impact

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 21

Continuum Entry

Overview

Baby boomers push seniors from 19% to 22.5% of population by 2030. Not a policy choice but a demographic reality. Chain: senior_pct -> healthcare_spending (delay 1) -> wait_times/infant_mortality AND long_term_care_spending (delay 1). The fiscal squeeze students need to understand.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 21). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Demographics | Proposal ID: 61 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Demographics. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]