Silver Tsunami: Seniors Hit 9.5M

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Revenue-neutral

Fiscal Impact

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 45

Continuum Entry

Overview

Canada's senior population reaches 9.5 million as the baby boom generation ages. Not a policy but a demographic certainty. Chain: senior_population -> elderly_benefits (+0.95, d1). Each additional million seniors adds roughly $950M in OAS/GIS spending. The fiscal squeeze is automatic and unavoidable.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 45). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Demographics | Proposal ID: 111 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Demographics. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]