GDP Growth Acceleration: 3.2%

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$3.00B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

-$3.4B CAD

57 variables affected across the causal graph

Projected Return

N/A

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Productivity Loss from Mental Health$7.7B CAD

Business Investment Growth+$309M CAD

Corporate Income Tax+$232M CAD

Corporate Tax Revenue+$232M CAD

Employment Insurance Benefits (reduced)+$232M CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Short-term (0–2 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 33

Continuum Entry

Overview

The mother of all levers: 20 outgoing edges. Strong consumer confidence, tech investment, and resource exports push GDP growth to 3.2%. Chain: gdp_growth -> ALL provincial GDPs (immediate, 9 provinces) + nominal_gdp (immediate) + business_investment (+2.0, d1) + employment_rate (+0.4, d1) + federal_revenues (d1) + GST (d1) + CHT (d1) + corporate_tax (d2) + personal_income_tax (d2) + inflation (d2) + EI_benefits (-, d1). One lever, twenty ripples.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 33). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Economic Policy | Proposal ID: 82 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Economic Policy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]