Uranium + Disparity Levers

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

Revenue-neutral

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$13.8B CAD

18 variables affected across the causal graph

No implementation cost

∞

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Nova Scotia Nominal GDP+$1.9B CAD

Saskatchewan Nominal GDP+$1.8B CAD

Manitoba Nominal GDP+$1.7B CAD

New Brunswick Nominal GDP+$1.7B CAD

Prairie Provinces GDP+$959M CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Short-term (0–2 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 57

Continuum Entry

Overview

GDP and resource revenue disparity indices rise as oil-rich provinces surge ahead. Saskatchewan uranium exports grow with SMR and global demand. Chain: provincial_gdp_disparity -> equalization_payments (+0.70, d1); resource_revenue_disparity -> equalization_payments (+0.50, d1); sask_uranium_revenue -> sask_resource_revenue (+1.0, immediate).

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 57). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Fiscal Federalism | Proposal ID: 130 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Fiscal Federalism. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]