Federal Mental Health Transfer: $8B

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

$3.00B CAD

Fiscal Impact

Long-term (5+ years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 39

Continuum Entry

Overview

Federal mental health transfer doubles from $5B to $8B via bilateral agreements with provinces. Chain: mental_health_spending_federal -> disability_claims (-0.20, d12) + opioid_deaths (-0.15, d6) + productivity_loss_mental_health (-0.30, d8) + suicide_rate (-0.20, d8). All four downstream effects are delayed 6-12 epochs — mental health investment is the ultimate long game.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 39). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Healthcare | Proposal ID: 96 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Healthcare. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]