Mental Health Crisis Response: $30B

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

Revenue-neutral

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$184.4B CAD

26 variables affected across the causal graph

No implementation cost

∞

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Alberta Bitumen Royalties+$32.0B CAD

Alberta Net Debt$32.0B CAD

Alberta Resource Revenue+$32.0B CAD

Alberta Total Revenues+$32.0B CAD

Alberta Budget Surplus+$32.0B CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 33

Continuum Entry

Overview

A $5.4B increase in mental health spending: community programs, crisis centres, and workplace wellness. Chain: mental_health_spending -> mental_health_workforce (+0.5, immediate) + workforce_productivity (+0.15, d4) + emergency_room_visits (-0.20, d4) + suicide_rate (-0.30, d8) + incarceration_rate (-0.10, d12). Mental health investment cascades through productivity, ER pressure, suicide prevention, and criminal justice over 12 epochs.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 33). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Healthcare | Proposal ID: 92 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Healthcare. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]