National Transportation Corridor: $45B

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$0.50B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$79.8B CAD

5 variables affected across the causal graph

Projected Return

160:1

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

GDP Cost of Trade Barriers (reduced)+$54.0B CAD

Interprovincial Trade Volume+$24.0B CAD

Nominal GDP+$1.8B CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Long-term (5+ years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 45

Continuum Entry

Overview

National trade corridor strategy: port expansions, rail upgrades, highway twinning, and northern airports. Chain: transportation_spending -> trade_balance (+0.20, d12). The 12-epoch delay reflects the reality that infrastructure takes years to impact trade flows. Students see the longest infrastructure delay in the model.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 45). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Infrastructure | Proposal ID: 115 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Infrastructure. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]