BoC 100bp Emergency Rate Cut

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

Revenue-neutral

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$6.1B CAD

29 variables affected across the causal graph

No implementation cost

∞

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Business Investment Growth+$2.0B CAD

Consumer Spending Growth+$750M CAD

Goods and Services Tax (GST)+$306M CAD

Corporate Income Tax+$269M CAD

Corporate Tax Revenue+$269M CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Not specified

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 1

Continuum Entry

Overview

Bank of Canada cuts overnight rate by 100bp (3.00% -> 2.00%) to stimulate economy. Tests full monetary policy transmission: prime rate, variable mortgage, GoC bond yields, fixed mortgage, consumer spending, business investment, and housing channels.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 1). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Monetary Policy | Proposal ID: 1 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Monetary Policy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]