Crime Wave Response: Public Safety

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

Revenue-neutral

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$3.1B CAD

2 variables affected across the causal graph

No implementation cost

∞

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Alberta Nominal GDP+$3.1B CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 27

Continuum Entry

Overview

Combination of community policing, mental health diversion courts, and poverty reduction programs. Chain: crime_rate -> public_safety_spending (+0.2, d2). Lower crime also ripples into property values, business investment, and insurance costs in the real world — the model captures the direct fiscal impact.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 27). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Social Policy | Proposal ID: 79 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Social Policy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]