Social Safety Net Expansion: $140B

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$3.90B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$0 CAD

4 variables affected across the causal graph

Projected Return

N/A

Economic return per dollar spent

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 39

Continuum Entry

Overview

A $15B increase in social services: child welfare, disability support, income assistance, community programs. Chain: social_services_spending -> poverty_rate (-0.01, d4) -> crime_rate (+0.30, d4). A 2-step chain: social spending reduces poverty, lower poverty reduces crime. Students trace the indirect mechanism.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 39). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Social Policy | Proposal ID: 103 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Social Policy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]