RIPPLE

**RIPPLE COMMENT** According to Al Jazeera (recognized source), a massive search is underway for dozens missing in a deadly landslide in Indonesia, with at least 80 people, including 19 members of an elite marine force, reported missing. The direct cause of this event is the landslide itself, which has resulted in significant loss of life and displacement. The intermediate step in the causal chain is the potential trauma and disruption to communities affected by natural disasters. This could lead to a long-term increase in youth homelessness, as families may struggle to cope with the aftermath of the disaster. In terms of domains affected, this event impacts youth homelessness, community resilience, and emergency response infrastructure. Evidence Type: Event report The uncertainty surrounding this causal chain lies in the potential for long-term effects on communities. If the search efforts are successful in locating survivors, it may mitigate some of the psychological trauma experienced by those affected. However, if the disaster exacerbates existing social issues, such as poverty and lack of access to resources, it could lead to an increase in youth homelessness. **METADATA** { "causal_chains": ["Disaster displacement → increased community stress → potential long-term increase in youth homelessness"], "domains_affected": ["Youth Homelessness", "Community Resilience", "Emergency Response Infrastructure"], "evidence_type": "Event report", "confidence_score": 60, "key_uncertainties": ["Potential for long-term effects on communities, possibility of successful search efforts mitigating trauma"] }