Fiscal Consolidation: 2% Spending Cut

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$3.80B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$17.0B CAD

62 variables affected across the causal graph

Projected Return

4:1

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Employment Insurance Premiums+$4.7B CAD

Income Tax Revenue+$4.0B CAD

Personal Income Tax+$3.7B CAD

Total Tax Revenues+$3.3B CAD

Consumer Spending Growth+$3.0B CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Short-term (0–2 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 1

Continuum Entry

Overview

An across-the-board 2% reduction in discretionary federal spending reduces the deficit by $16.3B but dampens GDP growth by 0.4 points. Fiscal hawks vs. growth advocates — a classic Canadian debate.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 1). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Fiscal Policy | Proposal ID: 29 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Fiscal Policy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]