Ontario Green Manufacturing Corridor

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$15.00B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$114.1B CAD

8 variables affected across the causal graph

Projected Return

8:1

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Interprovincial Electricity Trade+$45.0B CAD

US Electricity Exports+$26.2B CAD

Quebec Hydro Export Revenue+$22.9B CAD

BC Hydro Export Revenue+$11.4B CAD

Manitoba Hydro Export Revenue+$8.6B CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 11

Continuum Entry

Overview

Ontario leverages auto sector retooling, EV battery plants (Stellantis-LGES, Honda), and green steel investments to grow provincial GDP by $37B. HST revenues, employment, and interprovincial trade all benefit from Canada's manufacturing heartland recovery.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 11). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Industrial Policy | Proposal ID: 51 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Industrial Policy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]