LNG Canada Phase 2: Pacific Gateway

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Revenue-neutral

Fiscal Impact

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 21

Continuum Entry

Overview

LNG Canada Phase 2 doubles export capacity to 28 MTPA, boosting BC GDP and driving gas production growth. Chain: LNG_capacity -> bc_gdp (delay 2); gas_production -> alberta_gdp (delay 1) + carbon_emissions (immediate). The energy transition tension: economic benefit vs emissions cost.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 21). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Energy | Proposal ID: 63 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Energy. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]