Equalization Expansion: $30B

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

$3.80B CAD

Fiscal Impact

Immediate (weeks–months)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 33

Continuum Entry

Overview

Formula revision increases equalization by $3.8B to recipient provinces. Chain: equalization_payments -> quebec_own_source_revenue (+0.15, immediate) + manitoba_other_revenue (+0.10, immediate) + new_brunswick_other_revenue (+0.08, immediate) + nova_scotia_other_revenue (+0.08, immediate) + pei_own_source_revenue (+0.03, immediate). Five provinces boosted simultaneously — fiscal federalism in one lever.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 33). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Fiscal Federalism | Proposal ID: 90 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Fiscal Federalism. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]