Private Healthcare Creep: 35%

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Revenue-neutral

Fiscal Impact

Medium-term (2–5 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 39

Continuum Entry

Overview

Provincial experiments with private surgical clinics and diagnostic centres push private share to 35%. The controversial lever: private_healthcare_share -> clinician_migration_rate (+0.30, d2) — doctors move to higher-paying private sector. Also: healthcare_workforce_capacity (-0.20, immediate) + healthcare_wait_times (-0.15, d4). Shorter private waits but public workforce drain.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 39). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Healthcare | Proposal ID: 98 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Healthcare. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]