Territorial Formula Boost: $7B

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$3.80B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

+$19.9B CAD

5 variables affected across the causal graph

Projected Return

5:1

Economic return per dollar spent

Top Cascade Effects (click to expand)

Quebec Own-Source Revenue+$6.8B CAD

Manitoba Other Revenue+$4.5B CAD

New Brunswick Other Revenue+$3.6B CAD

Nova Scotia Other Revenue+$3.6B CAD

PEI Own-Source Revenue+$1.4B CAD

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Immediate (weeks–months)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 39

Continuum Entry

Overview

Territorial Formula Financing increases by $1.5B to account for northern cost premiums and climate adaptation. Chain: territorial_formula_financing -> nunavut_gdp (+0.35, immediate) + nwt_gdp (+0.30, immediate) + yukon_gdp (+0.25, immediate). One federal transfer, three territorial economies lifted simultaneously.

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 39). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Fiscal Federalism | Proposal ID: 99 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Fiscal Federalism. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]