Interprovincial Trade: Alcohol + Barrier Removal

⚠ This is a flightplan, not a commitment. Flightplans are hypothetical policy proposals modelled in the Ducklings causal simulation. They become projects only when voted into adoption through Consensus. Metrics shown reflect simulation model outputs, not real-world outcomes.

Fiscal & Economic Impact

Implementation Cost

$1.50B CAD

Direct government spending

Projected Economic Impact

Not yet simulated

Cascade effects pending

Projected Return

N/A

Economic return per dollar spent

Impact figures are simulation model outputs from the Ducklings causal engine (BFS cascade, 3-hop depth, strength-weighted edges). They represent projected effects, not real-world outcomes.

Short-term (0–2 years)

Time Horizon

Not assessed

Implementation Risk

Epoch 69

Continuum Entry

Overview

Multiple debates on economic competitiveness and CFTA implementation discussed removing interprovincial trade barriers. Alcohol interprovincial trade is a visible symbol of provincial protectionism. Existing proposals addressed trade_barrier_cost_index but not the alcohol-specific or productivity metrics. Chain: barrier removal -> interprovincial_trade_volume (+0.15, d4).

Ducklings Simulation

This proposal is active in the Ducklings causal simulation (Epoch 69). The simulation models downstream effects using a BFS cascade engine with strength-weighted, time-delayed edges capped at 3-hop depth and ±25% per-hop limits. Cascade outputs are bounded by variable saturation thresholds.

Domain: Interprovincial Trade | Proposal ID: 144 | Series: Continuum

How to Engage

Discuss this flightplan in the Pond forum under Interprovincial Trade. Vote on adoption through Consensus. Adopted flightplans become projects with real-world implementation tracking.

Contact: [email protected]