RIPPLE

**RIPPLE COMMENT** According to National Post (established source), a recent Leger poll indicates that Mark Carney's Liberal party has reached 47% voter support following his trip to Davos and China, where he made several high-profile speeches. The direct cause of this effect is the perceived impact of Carney's speeches on voters' perceptions of the Liberal party. This, in turn, may be influencing voter behavior and leading to a shift in support towards the Liberals at the expense of other parties. The NDP and Bloc Québécois appear to have lost significant ground, with Enns stating that they have "effectively disappeared" from the polls. The causal chain is as follows: Carney's speeches → increased visibility and credibility for the Liberal party → shift in voter support towards the Liberals → decreased support for other parties. The timing of this effect appears to be immediate, with the poll results reflecting changes in voter opinion following Carney's high-profile appearances. This development affects several civic domains, including: * Civic Engagement and Voter Participation: Changes in voter behavior and support for different parties may have implications for voter turnout and engagement. * Legal and Political Barriers: The shift in support towards the Liberals could be influenced by changes in voter eligibility or residency requirements, which may have affected the NDP and Bloc Québécois' appeal to voters. The evidence type is a poll report from Leger. It's uncertain how long-term this effect will be, as voter opinions can shift rapidly in response to changing circumstances. **

**RIPPLE COMMENT** According to Calgary Herald (recognized source), a Canadian newspaper with an 80/100 credibility score, the article "Day 9 at the Scotties: Alberta's Selena Sturmay stays calm, cool, collected" reports on the ongoing women's curling championship in Canada. The news event is that the semifinalists, including Edmonton's Selena Sturmay, are staying focused and enjoying their pursuit of the Canadian women's curling championship. This event may create a causal chain affecting civic engagement and voter participation, particularly regarding voter eligibility rules and residency requirements. A direct cause → effect relationship could be as follows: The article highlights the Canadian identity and pride associated with competing in national championships like the Scotties. This shared sense of national pride might lead to increased civic engagement among Canadians, including those who are eligible to vote but may not have previously been engaged in politics. In the short-term, this could result in a higher voter turnout for future elections. Intermediate steps in the chain include: * Increased media coverage and public awareness of Canadian sports events * Growing national pride and patriotism among Canadians * Greater civic engagement and participation in community activities This causal chain is expected to have immediate effects on civic engagement and voter participation, with potential long-term impacts on voter eligibility rules and residency requirements. If the trend of increased civic engagement continues, it could lead to policy changes that promote greater inclusivity and accessibility for all eligible voters. **DOMAINS AFFECTED** * Civic Engagement and Voter Participation * Identity and Belonging **EVIDENCE TYPE** * Event report (news article) **UNCERTAINTY** This causal chain is uncertain, as it depends on the continuation of increased civic engagement among Canadians. If this trend does not persist, the effects on voter eligibility rules and residency requirements may be minimal.