2025-2026: What is Driving the Current Wave of Separatism?
Catalyzing Events
- Federal Liberal Victory (2025): Conservatives won decisively in Alberta but formed no part of the federal government.
- Federal Emissions Cap: Implementation of emissions caps on oil and gas sector.
- Sovereignty Act: Became more operationally relevant.
- Lowered Referendum Threshold: Citizen-initiated referendums now more accessible.
Public Opinion
Core separatist support: ~25-30%. Clear majority opposes: ~65-75%.